20 April 2007

TRIN Indicator Exhaustion Day

The Emini closed up 12.75 points at 1,493.00 on Friday. Finally, an exhaustion signal today. The TRIN Indicator Oscillator peaked at +250 on Thursday, the highest reading since 2001. Then on Friday the Oscillator turned down and gave a TRIN Indicator Exhaustion short signal ('TrinX S' label on the chart).

Emini TRIN Indicator Exhaustion Image

TRIN Indicator Exhaustion

These exhaustion signals don't happen all that often, from 9 to 12 times each year. But when they do they can be quite profitable. The average trade makes around 16 points; winning trades average 27 points. The chart below shows the TradeStation performance report.

Emini TRIN Indicator Exhaustion Performance Image

TRIN Indicator Exhaustion Performance

The TRIN Indicator is one of my favorite market breadth measures – it usually leads the market and highlights weakness or strength before turning points. Plus it’s not price-based and so you can compliment price analysis with a non-correlated indicator.