The low, intermediate and high time frame cycles are starting to line up in the Bonds and Equities charts. And that means this week could be important – with a possible Low in Bonds and High in Equities. Watch for the Professional bars to see what they do next. Good luck with your Emini trading […]
Bond Market Archive
US Bonds have been trapped in a congestion zone since June 2017. The high and low of the congestion zone were formed during the crazy 48 hours during and after Trump’s election. We’re about to have triple Resistance levels print and if they hold, the downtrend will continue. Let’s see. Good luck with your trading.
This turning point has been 4 years in the making. But I think we’re finally at the other side. When all the to-ing and fro-ing is over and the new trend gets going proper. It’s interesting because everyone is worried about the equity market and it’s stretched valuations. Meanwhile, the much bigger and arguably more […]
Thank you to Adam Robinson and Jeff Gundlach for this great little coincident indicator (ratio of Copper to Gold). Looks like it’s signalling an important turning point ahead in Bonds. If you’re celebrating it, enjoy your 4th July!
A rip through the charts this weekend. Are bonds going to drop like a stone on Wednesday? Is the US Dollar going to follow? Can we really be seeing a rally in the Euro starting? Is the Japanese Yen going to follow? And will the carnage in Crude continue or will I be saved from […]
Equities have run pretty hard all month and Bonds have now found Support. Time for a little re-balancing, methinks. I’ll be looking for the next cyclical Resistance on the 40,500 tick (or 45 minute) chart. Should be around Monday or Tuesday. We’ll see. You can use this Intermarket Oscillator on Bonds and the Japanese Yen […]
Is there something in the air? Do you feel it too? Kind of anticipation plus excitement plus relief. Maybe it’s just the Donald-Hillary slugfest taking it’s toll on me. Or maybe I’m drinking too much French coffee. Then again, we might have an investment theme change ahead – you know, when the capital flows just […]
Well not really. Janet Yellen is a fine old bird. It’s just that all we care about these days is what the politburo, central planning bureaucrats have to say. It’s sad. We’ve become what we hate. Dare I say it? Communists. Whoops, I just went too far. Sorry, sorry, sorry. “Hi Barry, I miss the […]
The problem is the Bond market, not the Equity market. We’re so conditioned to watch for Equity market crashes, we kind of ignore the (sleepy) Bond market. But since 2009 all the flows have been into Bond markets around the world – and we’ve driven Government rates to zero (and negative). Well, that can’t last […]
You’d be crazy to call a trend change in Bonds, right? After all, they’ve been in an uptrend since 1981. Well I’m not calling a top in Bonds. But … we could see a little downtrend move over the next few weeks. Rates are breaking out above cyclical Resistance on the daily charts of 5, […]